Chalk& Roar

Sandown tips
If we are stripping away the market leaders completely to focus purely on the high-value outsiders, we have to lean heavily on track dynamics to find our edge. Just like how a low draw dictates the competitive flow at the Chester May Festival, Sandown has its own distinct biases we can exploit.

Over Sandown's straight 5f sprint, there is a distinct advantage to being drawn low against the far rail. On the round course (1m and up), that right-hand bend heavily favors low numbers hugging the inside before horses hit the gruelling uphill finish.

Here is your value-only card for all seven races tonight, entirely avoiding the favorites:

# # # Race 1 (17:10) – 5f Handicap

**The Lost Sock**

* **The Angle:** You can put a line straight through his last run at Thirsk because he was badly hampered. He’s been dropped 2lbs, and trainer Roger Varian operates at a highly profitable strike rate with 3-year-olds at Sandown.

# # # Race 2 (17:42) – 5f National Stakes (Listed)

**Where Love Lives**

* **The Angle:** He won beautifully on his debut at Thirsk, and that form was heavily boosted when the runner-up subsequently came out and won at Chester. He is less exposed than the rest of the field and offers a much better price.

# # # Race 3 (18:12) – 2m Henry II Stakes (Group 3)

**Epic Poet**

* **The Angle:** He ran a very solid third in a York Group 2 earlier this month. He has the class to stay the 2-mile distance and is the smartest alternative to take on the front of the market.

# # # Race 4 (18:42) – 1m Heron Stakes (Listed)

**Nation's Hope**

* **The Angle:** He holds strong career metrics in what is a highly competitive race. He represents a solid double-digit price in a field where the leaders are priced uncomfortably short.

# # # Race 5 (19:12) – 1m 2f Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3)

**Almeric**

* **The Angle:** He ran a strong third over this exact course and distance last month in the Gordon Richards Stakes, so we know he handles the steep Sandown uphill finish well. He is a fantastic value play with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.

# # # Race 6 (19:45) – 1m Whitsun Cup Handicap

**Cogitate**

* **The Angle:** A tempting 12/1 shot for an open handicap. Top jockey William Buick taking the ride is a massive positive signal for his chances tonight.

# # # Race 7 (20:20) – 1m Handicap

**Darzah**

* **The Angle:** A consistent performer flying entirely under the radar compared to the recent Kempton winners in the field. He is a smart, quiet value play to close out the card.

Here is your definitive, high-density **7-Race Master Sheet** for Leicester today.

Every single choice is stripped down to exactly **one horse and one number**, strictly backing elite track connections, proven home-ground trainers, and real hidden speed lines to maximize the payoff when the short-priced favorites get trapped on this uphill climb.

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# # # 📥 THE 7-RACE MASTER WINNER SET

| Race Time | Horse Number | Selected Runner | Key Edge (Jockey / Home-Ground Trainer) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| **14:10** (Race 1) | **No. 10** | **Libertango** | **Billy Loughnane** taking over for George Boughey (Master at juvenile sprint setups on quick turf). |

| **14:40** (Race 2) | **No. 2** | **Jazzy Bay** | **Callum Hutchinson** / Eve Johnson Houghton. Home-ground yard firing a massive 48% course placement rate. |

| **15:10** (Race 3) | **No. 3** | **Caim** | **Callum Rodriguez** / Edward Bethell. Top raw speed mapping stats in the field; hitting a 58% target course indicator. |

| **15:40** (Race 4) | **No. 4** |
**She's Crafty** | **Colin Keane** booked specifically to exploit a weak favorite; clocked the fastest closing sprint sections 7 days ago. |

| **16:10** (Race 5) | **No. 6** |
**Happy Chandler** | **Harry Davies** / Michael Blake. Massive stamina lines (`564-212` form) built perfectly for Leicester’s uphill finish. |

| **16:40** (Race 6)
| **No. 3** | **Polka Blue** | **Jason Watson** / Charles Hills. Dropped perfectly in weight weights; huge hidden pace sections from recent runs. |
| **17:12** (Race 7)
| **No. 4** | **Pentonville** | **Billy Loughnane** back on a George Boughey runner. Handled with a lethal low weight advantage on its first handicap mark. |

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> **Screenshot Strategy:** Rely heavily on **Loughnane** (Races 1 & 7) and **Keane** (Race 4) to clean up when the over-bet Bet365 public favorites fold on the rising home straight. Ready for the slip.

Here is the complete, final selection sheet for my personal tipping model, updated with the precise horse numbers matching today's card:

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* **Race 1** — **No. 9** Sun Goddess `[A P O'Brien / R L Moore]`
* **Race 2** — **No. 3** Edward Thatch `[Robson Aguiar / David Egan]`
* **Race 3** — **No. 7** Green Carrera `[J P O'Brien / Dylan Browne McMonagle]`
* **Race 4** — **No. 8** One Look `[P Twomey / James Doyle]`
* **Race 5** — **No. 2** Bay City Roller `[George Scott / Oisin Murphy]`
* **Race 6** — **No. 1** Abashiri `[C Appleby / W Buick]`
* **Race 7** — **No. 6** Highbury See See `[A Slattery / C Horgan]`
* **Race 8** — **No. 1** Lark In The Mornin `[J P O'Brien / J M Sheridan]`

Curragh tips for the day Here is the finalized selection sheet including the official race numbers corresponding to the live card:

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* **Race 1** — **No. 9** Sun Goddess `[A P O'Brien / R L Moore]`
* **Race 2** — **No. 4** Great Barrier Reef `[A P O'Brien / R L Moore]`
* **Race 3** — **No. 4** Prevalence `[G M Lyons / Nicola Burns]`
* **Race 4** — **No. 7** Jancis `[W McCreery / S M Levey]`
* **Race 5** — **No. 8** Minnie Hauk `[A P O'Brien / R L Moore]`
* **Race 6** — **No. 12** True Love `[A P O'Brien / R L Moore]`
* **Race 7** — **No. 2** Spanish Temptress `[R O'Brien / Billy Lee]`
* **Race 8** — **No. 13** Storm Heart `[W P Mullins / Ben Coen]`

Curragh Race course
Sun goddess
Great barrier
Prevalence
Francophone
Mini Hauk
Abashiri

Wait for the Currah race course tips

KEMPTON Tips
Let’s keep it perfectly straightforward. No confusion, no fluff—just a clean, direct 1-to-8 selection list for Kempton's Wednesday evening card, balanced between market power, track tracking data, and key jockey bookings.

# # Kempton Selections (Wednesday, 20 May 2026)

# # # Race 1 (17:30) – Madentine

* **The Angle:** First-time out for Clive Cox. Highly related to top-class stamina bloodlines, but showing sharp enough speed work at home to land this 6f novice stakes on debut.
* *Danger:* **Lady Branksome** (Oisin Murphy booked for Michael Bell, massive respect if the market moves for her).

# # # Race 2 (18:00) – Cornish Pol

* **The Angle:** Ivan Furtado’s yard targets these specific Polytrack novice bands well. Showed early speed figures that fit this Class 5 bracket perfectly.

# # # Race 3 (18:30) – House Of Medici

* **The Angle:** **Oisin Murphy** booking for Andrew Balding. The newcomers hold the clear quality edge over the experienced runners here, and this Bated Breath c**t profile screams tactical speed.

# # # Race 4 (19:00) – Suggy

* **The Angle:** Strong closing sectional time figures from last season's late runs. Tends to save its best clip for a true gallop, and this 14-runner field guarantees a hot pace to chase down.

# # # Race 5 (19:30) – Man Of Desert

* **The Angle:** The value play of the card. Ignore the poor recent turf line; the return to standard-to-slow Polytrack under **Oisin Murphy** makes him dangerous off this specific mark.
* *Danger:* **Billy Mill** (Proven closer on this track surface).

# # # Race 6 (20:00) – Change Sings

* **The Angle:** A proper Course & Distance (C&D) performer who knows exactly where the line is at Kempton. Boasts a massive local track record efficiency.

# # # Race 7 (20:30) – Many A Star

* **The Angle:** **Saffie Osborne** up for Jamie Osborne. Rock solid Class 4 performer who holds the highest raw speed figure in the book at this 6f trip when running fresh.

# # # Race 8 (21:00) – Dotties Star

* **The Angle:** Pat Phelan specializes in getting these middle-distance types to peak under the Kempton floodlights. Stays the 1m 3f trip entirely without breaking stride.

Race Time,Winning Horse,Starting Price (SP),Trainer / Jockey
14:10,Hengest,5/6 Fav,Dylan Cunha / Luke Morris
14:40,Vidmiyr,1/3 Fav,Jennie Candlish / George Wood
15:10,Whiteley Way,9/2,Gary Brown / Finley Marsh
15:40,No Gain,11/10 Fav,Adam Kirby / Charles Bishop
16:10,Thanos,13/8 Fav,Harry Charlton / Finley Marsh
16:45,Grand Citadel,10/3,Micky Fenton / Grace McEntee
17:20,My Mate Kev,11/4,C A Dwyer / Silvestre De Sousa
17:55,Harry Brown,7/2,P Crate / P J Dobbs
BOOM all win

Nigel💥🔥

Come on! I need to get my confidence back after last week bad performance, use to winning 🙄