Event Meteorology

Southwest Ohio folks - local forecasts I have seen and heard are saying two inches of snow by Friday morning. Yes that is how much may fall from the clouds. However, what has not been conveyed well is how much will actually stick to the ground. Most were in the 50s today and we may not get much below 32 overnight if at all. Tomorrow daytime temperatures should be above freezing as well. Roads may stay just wet until overnight Thursday night into Friday morning with just very light (1/2" or less) slushy accumulation on grass, car tops, and decks, but not on any pavement.

This afternoon I heard a woman say to her friends, "I just got a notification that rain will be here in 5 minutes." I then checked the radar and realized this would not be the case. Phone notifications utilize precipitation placement on a radar, the precipitation's direction, and speed. They would work great if radar echoes moved linearly (often they do not) and did not strengthen or weaken (which they almost always do). We did eventually get something in ten minutes, but it was not rain. That computer algorithm assumed a near-ground temperature about 40 would support rain, but air just above the surface was cold enough to support snow. Bottom line ... don't trust a computer to do what a human can do better. That is our strongest core value at Event Meteorology.

Possible those off you in parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley may hear sounds like shotguns outside overnight. It is actually rapid expansion of moisture in the ground and trees due to flash freezing as we quickly drop too near zero.

If anyone is curious, both NFL games today look to be dry. Low winds at both sites too. 30s in Foxboro for Chiefs at Pats, 50s in Phoenix this evening for Packers at Cardinals.

Good simple illustration how some tornadoes form.

The Science Behind Tornadoes Great read from National Geographic discussing tornadoes: The most intense tornadoes spawn from supercells, massive thunderstorms with rotating hearts called mesocyclones. For a supercell to form, …

Our Chief Meteorologist was working at The Weather Channel the last winter we had a strong El Nino ('97/'98). He covered a lot of severe weather across the South then, and unfortunately expects more days like yesterday the next few months, and perhaps even early next week.

The Event Meteorology "brain trust" recently met to plan our 2016 strategy. If you will be running or organizing an outdoor event could the weather impact or ruin it? That's where we come in, forecasting and monitoring weather for outdoor events. We welcome you to visit our website at www.eventmeteorology.com

Professional Event Weather Forecasting - Event Meteorology

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How knowledgeable is our Chief meteorologist? He will be teaching Meteorology classes at the University of Dayton starting in January.

Lightning threatened many spectators this past weekend at NCAA football games. The NCAA policy is a good one according to past AMS President Marshall Shepard. Unfortunately too many outdoor sporting events do not have a strong policy in place. It all starts with being informed when lightning will threaten. Event Meteorology can help.

https://lnkd.in/eT_AHVB

Is College Football's Lightning Policy Too Restrictive? No Fans may complain, but the NCAA's policies about lightning make perfect sense.

It was as if they didn't know it was about to happen. Lightning is the greatest threat at an outdoor event. We can inform and warn well before lightning gets this close.

Video: A bolt of lightning rocked Great American Ball Park | HardballTalk The two teams did eventually fit in a doubleheader on Saturday, with Milwaukee taking both games behind homers from Elian Herrera.

Thunderstorms possible this afternoon during Miami Valley Golf event at Sycamore Creek Country Club. We'll have it covered.