Coiled Dragon: From Soccer to AI, China's Upcoming War with America

The new 2025 Edition of the book "Coiled Dragon: From Soccer to AI, China's Upcoming War with America" has been released today.

Key updates in the second edition include:

Expanded Analysis of AI and Cyber Warfare: New sections on China's latest advancements in AI, quantum computing, and state-sponsored cyberattacks, including the 2024 U.S. Justice Department indictment of Chinese hackers targeting American infrastructure.

Recent Geopolitical Shifts: Updated discussions on China's diplomatic maneuvers, such as the Saudi-Iran peace agreement and its expanding influence in Central and South America. Sports Diplomacy Developments: Fresh insights into China's soccer investments and their role in shaping international perceptions, including the 2024 Africa Cup of Nations and the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup.

"Coiled Dragon is a wake-up call for the West,” said Darril Fosty. "China’s strategic use of soft power, combined with its military and technological ambitions, poses a significant challenge to global stability. This second edition reflects the urgency of understanding these dynamics as they continue to evolve.”

George Fosty added, "Our goal is to provide readers with a comprehensive view of China’s long-term strategies, from historical context to modern-day tactics. The book is not just about conflict but about understanding the complexities of a nation poised to reshape the global order.”

cardbiz.ca/strykerindigo-announces-the-release-of-the-second-edition-of-coiled-drago-p881-168.htm

Mark Carney's pledge to make Canada an energy "Superpower" sounds like Donald Trump. This is exactly what the U.S. Republican Party and the Heritage Foundation were advocating for in the U.S., and advocated by the Heritage Foundation, which published "Project 2025."

ANALYSIS | An energy superpower? Oilpatch skeptical of Carney's support for the sector | CBC News Despite Mark Carney's pledges throughout the election campaign to kick-start the country's economy, build energy corridors and transform the country into an energy superpower, many in the oilpatch are unconvinced there will be any change in policy direction from the re-elected federal Liberals.

What is not being explained in the press is what is going on with Trump, the Tariffs, and DOGE and how it all connects. Stephen Miran is a Senior Strategist at Hudson Bay Capital and has become Trump's primary economic advisor, and this is the economic blueprint he has outlined.

The U.S. as the World's Reserve currency results in the U.S. dollar being artificially high. This puts U.S. manufacturing at a disadvantage, resulting in a devastating loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. These jobs are considered harder to replace than similar paying jobs by the nature of where these jobs are in the U.S. (historically, it is harder to replace a good paying job in the Rust Belt than it is to replace a good paying job in New York City).

The U.S. tariffs are meant to not only bring money into the U.S. treasury but also protect U.S. manufacturing while having a devaluating effect on the currency of the country that is being tariffed.

Ideally for the U.S., the inflationary increase in costs to the U.S. consumer caused by the tariffs will be offset by the fact the tariffs strengthen U.S. dollar combined the weakening of the foreign currency will give the U.S. greater spending power becoming a virtual a net zero difference in price (or small enough where it is a one-time small inflationary bump it is hardly even noticed or offset by other actions. This was the case in 2018-2019 when the Trump Administration applied tariffs to China. The Chinese Yuan was devalued, and any increase in cost was essentially offset. That success is now being pursued on a global scale.

It will also protect key industries, particularly ones connected to the U.S. military, like the steel industry, to expand and grow, allowing for the U.S. to become self-sufficient in those industries and not reliant on foreign trade. This is considered important in a time of war as the U.S. does not want to be reliant on Canadian aluminum or steel if a war broke out with China.

There are two potential pitfalls to the strategy that would cause these tariffs to be inflationary, one is that the U.S. Debt is so high that the U.S. dollar does not strengthen thus, cutting the U.S. deficit is imperative to making the tariffs work ... thus Elon Musk and DOGE. DOGE is not only looking for waste, it is looking to balance the budget, assuring that U.S. spending power gains are achieved.

The other is reciprocal tariffs. This is why Trump is threatening an escalation of tariffs (or a reciprocal response to the reciprocal response) if a country implements counter-tariffing.

In addition, the tariffs provide increased revenue into the U.S. Treasury needed for U.S. to maintain its status as the world's reserve currency. Currently, foreign countries hold a total of 8.5 trillion U.S. dollars in Treasury-issued securities (USTs). For those who do not know, a UST is when countries like China or Japan export goods to the U.S., they receive payments in U.S. dollars. To manage these dollar reserves, these countries often invest in USTs rather than holding cash or converting it into their own currency. This results in the artificial strengthening of the U.S. dollar, hurting U.S. trade competitiveness and creating trade imbalances. If the U.S. was not the World's reserve currency, trade imbalances should largely work themselves out as one country's currency would rise and another would fall to a point where the one that fell would get a competitive edge and their goods would become so cheap that the trade would flow the other direction. Because of these USTs, the U.S. does not benefit from a weakening dollar, allowing for their exports to become cheaper; thus, when the country loses manufacturing jobs, they basically never return.

So, some have said to stop having the U.S. dollar as the World's Reserve currency. But, that seemingly is not going to happen as U.S. Administrations (Democrat and Republican) see it necessary for the U.S. to continue to hold it's place as the reserve currency so it can exercise economic pressure on countries through sanctions like the ones used on Iran (essentially the modern day blockade without warships). But this is becoming increasingly harder to maintain as the world's GDP continues to grow in comparison to the U.S. GDP.

In the 1960s, US GDP was at 40 percent of the global GDP, making it easy to maintain but the U.S. GDP to global GDP dipped to 21% in 2012 and although it has rebounded a bit to 26% since then it is seen as close to the threshold where they cannot maintain it. Although no one knows exactly where that tipping point is, somewhere just under 20% seems to be about where the U.S. would start to have problems holding on as the reserve currency - and it is unclear at this time if China could fill that void although I personally believe they would find a way to fill that void.

The power wielded as the reserve currency is essentially an economic weapon used in lieu of actual weaponry.

This is high-stakes poker, and it is uncertain how all this will play out.

"China conducts second live-fire drill near New Zealand" If this does not disturb you it should ... Tensions between and continue to escalate. A week after China accused Australia of "deliberately infringed upon China’s rights in the South China Sea and provoked China" and Australia signed a $4 billion deal to upgrade one of Papua New Guinea’s major ports and lockout Beijing, China continues to respond to this and a recent run in with the Australian navy with live-firing exercises off of Australia.

Papua New Guinea is an important strategic island as it served as a strategic World War 2 point in the second stage of the United States offensive against Japan and where US troops fought with Australia to halt Japan’s advances in the Southwest Pacific. It is also important to China in case of a war with the West for it could be used to quickly knock both Australia and New Zealand out of any conflict. In 2018, PNG granted China "Special Economic Zones" including the 99-year land-use right transfer of 400 hectares in the PNG Eastern Highlands. Port Lae is a deep-water berth was built to accommodate container traffic but can accommodate Chinese military vessels becoming a cause for concern for Australian defense. In recent years, the U.S. and Australia have been countering Chinese influence in PNG and the $4 billion deal is the latest in the West's economic and defensive response.

With Egypt putting together a plan for the Gaza, will we see the fulfilment of Gamal Abdel Nasser dream of a greater United Arab Republic once again?

The UAR existed from 1958 until 1971 as a political union between Egypt with Gaza and Syria from 1958 until Syria seceded from the union following the 1961 Syrian coup d'état. Egypt continued to be known officially as the United Arab Republic until it was formally dissolved by Anwar Sadat in September 1971.

The creation of the United Arab Republic on February 1, 1958, was the first step in uniting Arab nations under one singular state under head of state Gamal Nasser. Born in Alexandria, Egypt, Nasser was raised near the National Library of Egypt becoming extremely well-read and versed in the history of Egypt and Arabism. "Nasserism" at its essence was to be a modern version of the Phoenician Empire, and the lands that it encompassed were largely inhabited by people who were followers of the Sunni sect of Islam.

Although Nasser was Egyptian, to understand Nasser and Pan-Arabism one must view it beyond an Egyptian-centric perspective and see it in a cultural, regional-historic perspective, which includes Syria, Palestine, Lebanon, and North Africa. Nasser saw Egypt as geographically positioned to unite the two regions even though culturally these regions had been connected since ancient times. While the Persians were the great people at the western end of the Silk Road, it was the ancient Phoenicians, which included the Israelites, who were maritime traders trading at the western end of the Maritime Silk Road. It has been said that the history of maritime discovery begins with the Phoenicians. As they established a sprawling empire they became the first people, and perhaps the last, to base their culture on their commerce. The earliest recorded sea voyage is said to have taken place at the time of the reign of the Pharaoh Snefru, about 3200 B.C. This voyage was designed to increase commercial links between Egypt and Byblos, in Phoenicia, by “the bringing of 40 ships of 100 cubits with cedar wood.” ... The formation of the United Arab Republic marked the start of what was to be a Pan-Arab revival uniting of ancient centers of Damascus, Cairo, and Gaza along with plans of adding Lebanon.

I believe this could be the start of what could be a total rebuild of the region including Syria and Lebanon to a tourist and trade mecca it was prior to the 1960-70s under direct Egyptian control. It could mark the end of Hamas and the Palestine Authority putting Cairo in control in which political stability is achieved fueled with Qatar, Saudi, and American investment. This, combined with Syria's de facto leader Ahmed al-Sharaa,
could limit Iranian influence while opening up Syria to be part of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) (an infrastructure and investment partnership intended to harmonize trade infrastructure between India, the Arabian Peninsula, and Europe). The IMEC plan intends to have two ship-to-rail transit corridors linking India to Europe through the Arabian Gulf spanning 4,800km through the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Israel.

By the U.S. forcing an Arab-based solution by Egypt, we could see a revival of Nasser's dream of a united Arab state uniting these ancient societies (which could eventually extend to Libya) creating long-term stability pushing this region in alliance with the West, away from Russian and Iranian influence.

With the announcement of U.S. and Russia entering negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, expect a quick deal and not one that is favorable to Ukraine. Instead, watch the U.S. to move quickly and appease Russia and draw them closer to the West and away from China.

Since Nixon-Kissinger, the U.S. has attempted to isolate the Soviet Union/Russia by strengthening ties with China. Former Jimmy Carter National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski had continued Henry Kissinger's world geopolitical vision and reinforced it under Madeleine Albright during the Clinton Administration where Albright was hawkish to Russia while attempting to draw closer to China. Clinton's policies led to China joining the WTO while rejecting Putin's hopes of having Russia join NATO. These policies, now 25-30 years later, have aged poorly and in recent years bolstered a regionally aggressive China that has never shown any intent of adhering to international norms and laws while pushing Russia towards China.

Expect the Trump Administration's approach to cozy up to Russia, moving them towards the West and isolating China for the first time since 1964 when Charles de Gaulle's France undercut the West giving official recognition to the People's Republic of China bolstering Mao's regime while it teetered on the verge of collapse prior to the Cultural Revolution and the death of up to 20 million people.

Trump's approach was the approach JFK had been pursuing with Khrushchev prior to his assassination in 1963. Upon reaching a deal, expect rapid decoupling for Russia from China prior to U.S., Australia, Japan, and potentially Germany taking an aggressive militaristic approach to an isolated China.

As for Ukraine, they will be the loser as they will not be seen as important to American foreign policy goals when weighed against the escalating Chinese-American combativeness and hostilities.

Understanding the Military reasons for renaming the Gulf of Mexico.

Strategically, the Gulf of Mexico (America), according to the Pentagon quote "No other area in the world provides the U.S. military with ready access to a highly instrumented, network-connected, surrogate environment for military operations" simulating those found in the Northern Arabian Gulf and Indo-Pacific Theater where the U.S. is preparing for a potential upcoming war.

In 2018 Pentagon stated oil and gas development is not limited "military flexibility in the region would be lost and test activities severely affect." Thus the area is vital for U.S. military preparedness and with increasing Chinese-Mexico oil development, the U.S. is countering with the renaming of the Gulf.

Why is renaming important, because it is being used in World Court by the Chinese to reinforce territorial claims. Over the last several years China has renamed over 1000 maritime features, largely in the South China Sea but also into the Pacific and Indian Ocean. This is to make territorial claims for land particularly aimed at disputes with Vietnam, Philippines, Taiwan, Burma, and Japan but also India. The Chinese have been economically moving into the Gulf of Mexico via the Mexican oil industry. The U.S. is looking to push China out of the Gulf as the U.S. and by the summer, will be pushing back on militarily on Chinese international expansion. This is what is going on from Panama to Greenland. It is preparing the defense of North America and what they call "preparing the battlefield."

I have said this before, China has been executing a 100 year plan that they are just over 75 years into to make Beijing the geopolitical center of the planet. This includes potential military consequences against the U.S. Over the last decade China has been reverse engineering the Pacific Theater victory of WW2 and the last two American Administrations have been pushing back. People are not understanding how this is playing out. We are preparing for brinkmanship politics with China. This will be the headlines this summer. This ties in with steel and aluminum production and why tariffs on these key military industries are being talked about as the U.S. is going to be ramping up domestic steel production in case of an outright conflict with China.

The unfortunate truth is, that China has repeatedly shown they will break any and all treaties, and the Biden and now Trump Administration has amped up military pushback against the Chinese with Biden quietly rolling back the Nixon Doctrine and guaranteeing Taiwanese security and sovereignty. This going back to the old policies implemented by Eisenhower and JFK .

This is where we are at and how close we are to war with China.

Vietnam stands firm against China’s aggressive South China Sea ambitions, from seizing the Paracels in 1974 to building outposts in the Spratlys.

Vietnam Had Enough of China - Get Out NOW! Vietnam stands firm against China’s aggressive South China Sea ambitions, from seizing the Paracels in 1974 to building outposts in the Spratlys. This video ...

https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/suspected-china-linked-hack-us-telecoms-worst-nations-history-senator-says-2024-11-22/ In other words, when it comes to surveillance, the Chinese are eating our lunch.

Suspected China-linked hack on US telecoms worst in nation's history, senator says A breach of telecoms companies that the United States said was linked to China was the "worst telecom hack in our nation's history - by far," the chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee told the Washington Post on Thursday.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/22/business/china-is-armed-and-ready-for-trade-war-2-0-with-donald-trump/index.html American politicans seem to think that the Chinese need U.S. trade - not so much anymore.

Analysis: China is armed and ready for trade war 2.0 with Donald Trump | CNN Business In the summer of 2018, when former President Donald Trump launched a trade war with Beijing, the Chinese economy was gaining on the United States, and popular opinion suggested it could soon become the world’s largest. Now, with Trump months away from retaking office, China’s economy has been gr...

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/24/china-unnerved-russia-growing-ties-north-korea-claims-us-official Why would China be concerned, the Chinese are aligned politically and militarily with both countries.

China unnerved by Russia’s growing ties with North Korea, claims US official Comments part of debate over whether Beijing backs Kim Jong-un’s decision to send troops to fight in Ukraine

The Chinese military has increased its provocative flights around Taiwan by 300% over the last five months as it prepares for a potential invasion of Taiwan.

China has increased military flights near Taiwan by 300%, U.S. general says Gen. Kevin Schneider warned that the Chinese activities have increased dramatically since Taiwan’s new president was inaugurated in May.