Tonys Picks

10/14/2026

Tonys Sports Picks with Analysis

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10/14/2026

🚨🏒 2 NHL GAMES. 4 TIRED GOALIES. WHO'S GETTING EXPOSED TONIGHT? 🔥🥅

Could GOALIE FATIGUE be the key to Wednesday's NHL betting slate? 👀

Tony Tellez breaks down two October 14 matchups using goalie workload, save percentages and back-to-back performance!

🏒 CANADIENS vs CAPITALS
⏰ 7:30 PM ET

🎯 CONDITIONAL LEAN: MONTREAL TO SCORE / OVER

🔥 Washington's Logan Thompson carries a fatigue score of 61 — the highest on tonight's board!
🔥 Thompson has a .905 save percentage.
🔥 Montreal has scored a first-period goal in 75% of its games!
⚠️ If Washington starts rested backup Charlie Lindgren (.952 SV%), the betting outlook changes!

🏒 STARS vs AVALANCHE
⏰ 8:30 PM ET

🎯 CONDITIONAL LEAN: DALLAS TO SCORE / OVER

🔥 Colorado's Mackenzie Blackwood has a .887 save percentage!
🔥 Blackwood also played yesterday!
🔥 Colorado has allowed a first-period goal in 77.8% of its games!
🔥 Dallas goalie Jake Oettinger has been excellent with a .943 SV%!

💥 THE BIGGEST TAKEAWAY?

A tired goalie isn't automatically a bad goalie!

It's the combination of HEAVY WORKLOAD + POOR SAVE PERCENTAGE that creates potential betting opportunities.

🚨 STARTING GOALIE CONFIRMATION IS ESSENTIAL!

💬 WHICH GOALIE IS MOST VULNERABLE TONIGHT?

🔴 LOGAN THOMPSON — Washington
🔵 MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD — Colorado

👇 COMMENT YOUR PICK!

🎥 Watch Tony's NHL Rundown:
https://youtu.be/upu4EN5jy7M

👥 TAG your hockey crew!

⚠️ Conditional leans only. Confirm starters and odds. Bet responsibly.



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NHL goalie fatigue picks for 10/14/26 target worked creases in Canadiens-Capitals and Stars-Avalanche, with Thompson the clearest fade.

10/14/2026

🚨🏈 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAMES. 2 FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY! 🔥

Conference USA takes center stage tonight! Who's covering the spread? 👀

Tony's Picks breaks down TWO Wednesday night college football matchups for October 14, 2026!

🏈 KENNESAW STATE vs MISSOURI STATE

⏰ 7:30 PM ET | CBS Sports Network

🎯 PICK: KENNESAW STATE -3

🔥 Kennesaw State averages 4.7 yards per rush!
🔥 Missouri State allows 196 rushing yards per game!
🔥 The Bears surrender nearly 450 total yards per game!
🔥 Kennesaw State brings the stronger defensive profile!

⚡ Can the Owls take advantage of Missouri State's struggling defense?

🏈 WESTERN KENTUCKY vs SAM HOUSTON

⏰ 8:00 PM ET | ESPN

🎯 PICK: WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5

🔥 WKU is coming off a 34-13 win over Missouri State!
🔥 Brock Glenn delivered 231 passing yards and 95 rushing yards!
🔥 Sam Houston has struggled against the run!
🔥 Tony's Picks model projects WKU winning 35-21!

💥 THE BIG QUESTION:

Will BOTH road favorites cover tonight?

💬 MAKE YOUR PICKS!

🔵 Kennesaw State -3
🔴 Western Kentucky -1.5
🔥 BOTH COVER!

👇 COMMENT YOUR BEST PICK AND FINAL SCORE PREDICTION!

📲 Get the full game analysis and latest betting odds at Tony's Picks!

🎥 Subscribe for FREE daily sports predictions:
https://www.youtube.com/?sub_confirmation=1

👥 TAG your college football crew!

⚠️ Betting lines may change. Bet responsibly.



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Free College Football Picks For Wednesday 10/14/2026 from Tonys staff of professional handicappers who research College Football for betting angles.

10/14/2026

🚨🏈 10 COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAMES. 10 FREE PICKS! 🔥

SATURDAY'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL CARD IS LOADED! 💥

From Penn State vs Michigan to Mississippi State vs LSU, Tony's Picks breaks down 10 matchups for October 17, 2026!

🏆 FREE CFB PICKS — WEEK 7, PART 2

🎯 TODAY'S PICKS:

🏈 Mississippi State vs LSU — OVER 58.5
🏈 Rutgers +5 vs Maryland
🏈 Charlotte +21 vs Temple
🏈 UMass +6.5 vs Buffalo
🏈 Western Michigan -7 vs Central Michigan
🏈 Virginia Tech -10 vs Georgia Tech
🏈 Toledo -6.5 vs Eastern Michigan
🏈 Akron +10 vs Miami Ohio
🏈 Penn State +6.5 vs Michigan
🏈 Duke -3 vs North Carolina

📊 MATCHUPS TO WATCH!

🔥 Penn State +6.5 — Can the Nittany Lions' defense keep Michigan's offense in check?

🔥 Duke -3 — Our model projects Duke winning by approximately 10.6 points!

🔥 Charlotte +21 — The model sees a much closer game against Temple than the market spread suggests!

🔥 Mississippi State vs LSU OVER 58.5 — Two offenses capable of explosive plays!

💰 Ten betting angles across Saturday's college football slate!

💬 YOUR TURN!

Which of these 10 picks is your STRONGEST PLAY?

👇 DROP YOUR BEST BET AND SCORE PREDICTION BELOW!

📲 Read the complete odds, stats, injury updates and model projections at Tony's Picks!

🎥 Subscribe for daily FREE sports picks:
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👥 TAG your college football crew!

⚠️ Lines may change. Confirm current odds. Bet responsibly.



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Free College Football Picks 10-17-2026 Part 2 from Tonys staff of professional handicappers who research NCAAF for betting angles.

10/14/2026

🚨⚾ BREWERS vs DODGERS: NLCS GAME 3 BEST BET IS IN! 🔥💰

Two left-handed pitchers. Two struggling postseason offenses. ONE betting total worth watching! 👀

🏆 MLB NLCS GAME 3
⚾ Milwaukee Brewers 🆚 LA Dodgers
📅 October 14, 2026
⏰ 8:00 PM ET
📍 Dodger Stadium

🎯 TONY'S PICKS OFFICIAL PLAY:
🔥 BREWERS vs DODGERS — UNDER 7.5 RUNS!

📊 WHY WE LIKE THE UNDER:

✅ Blake Snell: 1.21 ERA over his last 8 starts!
✅ Robert Gasser: 1.06 ERA over his last 3 starts!
✅ Dodgers batting just .193 this postseason!
✅ Milwaukee slugging only .373 in the playoffs!
✅ Both bullpens have been performing well!

📉 CHECK THESE UNDER TRENDS!

🔥 Brewers: 4-1-1 to the UNDER in the playoffs!
🔥 Dodgers: 5-1 to the UNDER in the playoffs!

💥 The question is simple: Can these two pitching staffs keep the combined score below EIGHT runs?

💬 WHAT'S YOUR CALL?

👍 UNDER 7.5 — Pitchers dominate!
❤️ OVER 7.5 — Bats come alive!

👇 COMMENT YOUR PICK AND FINAL SCORE PREDICTION!

📲 Check the latest MLB odds:
https://tinyurl.com/473j585f

👥 TAG a Dodgers or Brewers fan!

⚠️ Odds may change. No guaranteed winners. Bet responsibly.

Free MLB Picks For Today 10/14/2026 from Tonys staff of professional handicappers who research Major League Baseball for betting angles.

10/14/2026

MLB, NHL, College Football Betting Odds, Picks - NIGHT MOVES Show for Wed., Oct. 14, 2026

10/13/2026

Tonys Sports Picks with Analysis

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10/13/2026

🚨🎾 ANN LI vs CAMILA OSORIO: CAN HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF IN WUHAN? 🔥👀

Ann Li has dominated their recent head-to-head meetings, but can Camila Osorio finally turn the tables? 💥

🏆 WTA WUHAN OPEN 2026
📅 October 13, 2026
⏰ 11:00 AM Local Time
📍 Court 2

🎾 ANN LI 🆚 CAMILA OSORIO

🎯 TONY'S PICKS PREDICTION:
🔥 ANN LI TO WIN — PASS (NO BET)

📊 WHAT THE MODEL SAYS:

✅ Ann Li — 53.7% projected win probability
✅ Camila Osorio — 46.3% projected win probability
✅ Li won their three listed meetings before Wuhan.
✅ Projected total — approximately 23 games
✅ Ann Li's quoted moneyline — around 1.81

💥 BUT HERE'S THE TWIST!

Despite Li's head-to-head advantage, the model sees an EXTREMELY close matchup!

With only a 53.7% projected win probability, Li's current odds don't offer enough value for a recommended wager.

⚠️ OFFICIAL BETTING GRADE: PASS — NO BET

💬 WHO'S YOUR PICK?

🔥 ANN LI — History repeats itself!
💪 CAMILA OSORIO — The underdog gets revenge!

👇 COMMENT YOUR WINNER AND PREDICT THE SET SCORE!

📲 Read the full match breakdown at Tony's Picks!

👍 LIKE, SHARE & FOLLOW for daily FREE tennis predictions!

⚠️ Odds may change. Bet responsibly.

Ann Li and Camila Osorio renew a recent hard-court rivalry in Wuhan. Our October 13 pick favors Li, but the narrow market edge makes it a pass.

10/13/2026

🚨🎾 SNIGUR vs MERTENS: CAN THE SEEDED FAVORITE DELIVER IN WUHAN? 🔥👀

One player has a 70.5% projected chance to win, but does the betting price offer enough VALUE? 💰

🏆 WTA WUHAN OPEN 2026
📅 October 13, 2026
⏰ 11:00 AM Local Time
📍 Court 3

🎾 DARIA SNIGUR 🆚 ELISE MERTENS

🎯 TONY'S PICKS PREDICTION:
🔥 ELISE MERTENS TO WIN — LEAN

📊 WHY MERTENS?

✅ No. 14 seed in the tournament
✅ 70.5% projected win probability
✅ Snigur holds a 29.5% chance of winning
✅ Projected winning margin of approximately 2.6 games
✅ Moneyline prices range from 1.40 to 1.47

💥 HERE'S THE CATCH!

Mertens is the clear favorite, but not every price offers the same value!

At 1.47, the implied break-even probability is approximately 68.0%. At 1.40, it jumps to 71.4%!

That's why Tony's Picks rates Mertens as a cautious LEAN rather than a strong bet.

💬 WHO'S YOUR PICK?

🔥 MERTENS — The favorite gets it done!
💪 SNIGUR — The underdog pulls off the upset!

👇 COMMENT YOUR WINNER AND PREDICT THE SET SCORE!

📲 Read the full match breakdown at Tony's Picks!

👍 LIKE, SHARE & FOLLOW for daily FREE tennis predictions!

⚠️ Odds may change. Bet responsibly.

Elise Mertens faces Daria Snigur in Wuhan's Court 3 opener. Our October 13 betting pick favors Mertens, with the current number graded a lean.

10/13/2026

🚨🎾 SHERIF vs CHWALINSKA: CAN THE HEAVY FAVORITE DELIVER? 🔥👀

One player has a nearly 74% projected chance to win, but is she worth the betting price? 💰

🏆 WTA WUHAN OPEN 2026
📅 October 13, 2026
⏰ 11:00 AM Local Time
📍 Court 4

🎾 MAYAR SHERIF 🆚 MAJA CHWALINSKA

🎯 TONY'S PICKS PREDICTION:
🔥 MAJA CHWALINSKA TO WIN — PASS (NO BET)

📊 THE NUMBERS:

✅ Chwalinska — 73.6% projected win probability
✅ Sherif — 26.4% projected win probability
✅ Chwalinska's quoted odds — 1.24
✅ Sherif's quoted odds — 4.38
✅ Projected winning margin — approximately 3.3 games

💥 HERE'S THE CATCH!

Chwalinska is the clear favorite, but the odds are SHORT!

At 1.24, the price demands a win rate of approximately 80.6% just to break even — higher than the model's 73.6% projection!

That's why Tony's Picks recommends a PASS rather than forcing a wager.

💬 WHAT DO YOU THINK?

🔥 CHWALINSKA — The favorite takes care of business!
💪 SHERIF — The underdog shocks Wuhan!

👇 COMMENT YOUR WINNER AND PREDICT THE SET SCORE!

📲 Read the full match breakdown at Tony's Picks!

👍 LIKE, SHARE & FOLLOW for daily FREE tennis predictions!

⚠️ Odds subject to change. Bet responsibly.

Mayar Sherif meets seeded Maja Chwalinska in Wuhan. We assess the October 13 odds, model gap, and why Chwalinska is still only a clear pass.