11/02/2019
The weekend is behind us and boy oh boy are we in for a treat. Don't underestimate just quite how blessed we are that with 12 games left, the title race is as hot as ever with the top three all headed for record points totals.
We have a race for fourth place heating up nicely, three certainly doesn't go into one but we will be happy to watch them try. Manchester United have suddenly become favourites for that spot but Arsenal won't go away and if Chelsea could get their house in order - be it through a sacking or just a collective improvement - then they will certainly have a major say in the fate of the last Champions league spot.
Add to that the fact that outside Fulham and Huddersfield Town, the relegation battle is on. Three points separate six teams in the bottom half and any one of them could get dragged into the dog fight.
So..... what happened?
Manchester United moved into the top four....
“We need to try to win as many points as possible and try almost the miracle to end in fourth” – Jose Mourinho, December 4.
Turns out they didn’t need a miracle, just to get rid of Mourinho and wait nine matches.
Manchester United beat Fulham and moved into fourth place in the early game on Saturday. Paul Pogba continued his most purple of purple patches under new management. He has been a player reborn. The argument made by most is why he couldn't he play like this under Mourinho? Well, because as with any other form of occupation, employees will always do better when the employer shows that he trusts them and gives them the right conditions to do their job well. Jose Mourinho clearly didn't do any of this. We don't need reminding that it is a manager's job to motivate his players and Mourinho simply didn't do it.
Note too for another sublime performance from Anthony Martial. Alexis Sanchez will not be getting anywhere near the first team as long as he stays fit.
Fulham on the other hand were dreadful once again. There is no shame in losing 3-0 at home to Manchester United, that is a scoreline that can be taken pretty well in isolation by most fans at Craven cottage. The style of the defeat and how inevitable it seemed to be will be the cause for most of the disenchantment in the stands.
Fulham hired Ranieri to shore up a leaky defence. They accepted it may come at the cost of some of their attacking potency. However, he has managed to blunt their attack whilst also not fixing their defence. They have conceded 17 times in their last 7 games and scored 15 in his 15 matches in charge as opposed to 16 in the 15 before. There's a growing feeling of "the more things change, the more they stay the same" with him in charge.
It hasn't helped that Sessegnon and Cairney have been pushed to the fringes since he arrived and it is no exaggeration to say the bulk of Fulham's good work going forward in their promotion season came from those two. The fans voiced their disappointment by chanting that Ranieri did not know what he was doing. I am beginning to think they have a point. Don't tell Claudio I said that.
Liverpool went three points clear (for 24 hours)
The midweek message was clear: the reigning champions will take quite some shifting to relinquish their throne.
It took Liverpool all of three days to muster an emphatic response. After all the talk of them melting under the bright lights and heat of a Premier League title challenge, a comfortable 3-0 win over Bournemouth gives them a three-point lead with 12 games remaining.
It might not be the ten-point gap that was prematurely and giddily forecast ahead of the City game last month, but it is proof that draws with Leicester and West Ham were exceptions to the rule that Jurgen Klopp has implemented this season. And it is a reminder that City are still the ones who are having to try and keep the pace instead of setting it.
Not since Liverpool were sponsored by Carlsberg while winning Coca-Cola, Worthington and Carling Cups have the Reds been so intrinsically linked with the word ‘bottle’. A team that had the fourth-most points in Premier League history after 25 games was suddenly being framed as mentally weak and lacking in the durability required for a title challenge.
It was always a laughable reaction to the smallest of blips. But Anfield was the club’s nuclear bunker: the internal calm defied the external pandemonium.
Arsenal did what they had to do.
Regulation win in all honesty. Huddersfield Town are certainties for the drop and looked every bit the Championship club that they are. To have stayed more than one season in such an unforgiving league was more than anyone should have expected. They've had their party and next season will hope to go again.
Tottenham just keep on keeping on
Isn't typical of Spurs to attempt several times over the last month to trip themselves up and perform all sorts of self sabotage and yet still not manage even that. Despite numerous attempts by fate, the chairman and even their own players to stuff it up at Wembley, they emerge still only five points behind. Tottenham have a projected points tally of 88 at the end of the season which is frankly ludicrous.
Manchester City absolutely wiped the floor with Chelsea
Before we get into this, Chelsea were undeniably complicit in their downfall, Ross Barkley and his Evertonian roots cannot bear to see Liverpool winning the Premier League. Marcos Alonso just isn't a left back and Ceasar Azpilicueta was far too willing to give Sterling all he wanted with that penalty. Has Kepa made a save that is classed as beyond regulation in recent weeks?
Manchester City were brilliant. They were ruthless and played the sort of football that makes everyone forget they have a) lost more times than Liverpool and shown a surprising ability to just throw games away in recent times and b) played one more game than Liverpool and just hand them the title already.
It is almost impossible to live with Guardiola's side when they play like this. Everything was in sync. You just pray to all that is holy that they have an off day when you meet them.
Even when that happens, you still have to contend with Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero. Sterling has now scored or assisted 50 Premier League goals since the start of last season.
Sergio Aguero has scored 43 times in 64 games against the top six sides since he joined Manchester City. Truly an underrated player.
I do have some sympathy with Maurizio Sarri, because this is partly on Chelsea. A club notorious for managerial short-termism courted and appointed a manager who had a long-term vision. They gave Sarri the honour of changing Chelsea; other managers had been changed by them.
Chelsea also appointed a manager whose style was so distinct that it was likely to take time and perseverance for the squad to grow accustomed to it, and take several transfer windows for the squad to be sculpted according to the manager’s vision. Let’s remember that Pep Guardiola finished fourth in the Premier League in his first season with Manchester City, and Guardiola had a far stronger squad with bigger budgets. To exacerbate that issue, Chelsea appointed Sarri less than three weeks before the Community Shield. Guardiola, you will remember, was lined up months in advance.
But if that is Sarri’s defence, he is quickly using up his goodwill. If there are periods of home matches in which the Italian’s style rises to the surface and you can almost believe that Chelsea might get there, they are easily overshadowed by shambolic, humbling defeats. It is not just that Chelsea are losing, but that they are suffering the type of collapse that any manager can only suffer once or twice before owners get twitchy and HR are asked to work late.
Manchester City have represented these two extremes of Sarri’s Chelsea perfectly. In the home fixture, Guardiola fretted and frowned like a man waiting for bad news as Chelsea out-passed the passers and out-thought the thinkers. But Chelsea’s capitulation on Sunday renders that virtually void. The abiding image was of Marcos Alonso being left with two men to pick up at the back post and opting for the brave option of marking neither.
Chelsea have not yet scored an away goal in 2019 and have conceded 13. If a trip to Malmo this Thursday should allow them to arrest that miserable statistic, they will do so in a competition that they don’t particularly want to be in and yet look increasingly likely to settle for next season.
Sarri may avoid the sack this week, but he should not get too comfortable. Having twice called out his players publicly and failed to get a reaction, it’s difficult to know where you go from there. It makes owners wonder whether it’s not them, but you....
The rest....
Sean Dyche has worked a mini miracle at Burnley. Two months ago, I would have picked them as certainties for the drop. In the intervening time, he has dropped Joe Hart - admittedly not responsible for their slide downward - and brought back Tom Heaton, immediately witnessing a massive improvement in results and performances.
They were conceding shots at a faster rate than any team in Premier League history and Dyche's answer was to revert to what got them where they are. It has worked a treat and they are currently on an upward trajectory which is more than can be said of most of the bottom half.
On January 8, Everton’s majority shareholder Farhad Moshiri warned that the club’s league position and form was not good enough. Since then, Everton have lost to Southampton, Wolves and Watford in the league and tumbled out of the FA Cup to Millwall. They are five points behind Wolves in seventh having played two games more, and four points behind Watford. Marco Silva is in trouble at Everton, isn't he?
Neil Warnock
You don’t have to like the man (and he cares not a jot whether you do or not). But you have to admire Warnock’s ability to motivate a team to be greater than the sum of its own uninspiring parts and to respond to adversity.
We have witnessed that ability in the macro and micro over the past fortnight. The macro picture is how Cardiff’s minds have remained focused on the relegation battle amid the most unlikely and tragic circumstances. The micro is how Cardiff conceded a 91st-minute equaliser in a vitally important away game and still won the contest in the final throes. Warnock’s fingerprints are all over both.
Cardiff could not have picked a more impressive nor more important time to register consecutive top-flight wins for the first time in 57 years. Warnock may still oversee the most unlikely survival bid. After the last three weeks, it’s hard to root against him.
There's so much more going on but that's all there is from here. We'll be back before you know it.....
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