15/09/2026
Eighty-five elite and world-class men reported their training and their best times after three, five and seven years of systematic training. Then researchers asked which activity actually predicted how fast they became.
The famous theory says expertise comes from deliberate practice: effortful, focused, uncomfortable work aimed squarely at getting better. In running, intervals and tempo runs qualify. Easy running does not.
Here is how the predictors ranked:
— Total distance run: r ≥ 0.75
— Easy runs: r ≥ 0.68
— Short intervals: r ≥ 0.53
— Tempo runs: r ≥ 0.50
— Long intervals: r ≥ 0.22
Total distance on its own accounted for at least 57% of the variation in performance. One variable, more than half the gap.
And easy running outranked every hard session type. The activity that does not qualify as deliberate practice was, in the authors' own words, crucial to better performances, partly through what it contributes to total distance.
When all the modes went into the model together, only two still explained performance: easy runs and tempo runs. That is a short list for seven years of work.
The odd one out is worth sitting with. Long intervals — the one-to-two-kilometre repetitions runners dread and build their identity around — showed the weakest link to performance of any mode measured. Not a reason to remove them. A reason to stop building the week around them.
Protect the easy running first, raise volume before intensity, keep one quality tempo. And hold it in proportion: this describes what got elite men there over seven years, not a prescription for everybody.
Source: Casado, Hanley, Santos-Concejero & Ruiz-Perez (2021). Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research 35:2525-2531.
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